Lumea in Epoca Obama

Un foarte interesant articol din Ziare.com:

Cum si-au pierdut SUA prietenii, i-au facut puternici pe radicali, iar lumea a devenit mai periculoasa

Se arata ca:

„Incepand din anul 2008, cand laureatul Premiului Nobel pentru Pace a fost presedintele american Barack Obama, lumea a devenit un loc mai periculos, iar in multe regiuni au aparut noi amenintari sau au revenit unele vechi, sustine un expert international in contrainsurgenta si contraterorism.

In prezent, la sapte ani distanta de la acel moment, tabela de scor este clara: baietii rai castiga si interesele Americii sunt subminate zilnic, sustine Sebastian Gorka, doctor in stiinte politice, intr-un articol pentru site-ul de de comentarii si analize politice Breitbart.

Rusia, islamul si imperiile: Credinta in oportunitate

Acesta trece in revista situatii tensionate de pe toate continentele populate ale lumii, subliniind ca America inca nu si-a revenit dupa experienta 11 septembrie.

In acest context, Gorka indeamna la un instantaneu la rece al situatiei strategice globale pentru a vedea daca administratia al carei sef a primit un Premiu Nobel pentru Pace in primul sau an in functie a facut intr-adevar lumea un loc mai sigur si mai pasnic.

Predictii pentru 2015 – la ce se asteapta intreaga lume pentru anul care abia a inceput

Europa

In cea mai mare parte a secolului trecut, siguranta Americii a avut legatura directa cu continentul european. Fie ca a fost vorba despre genocidele celor doua razboaie mondiale sau totalitarismul Razboiului Rece, Europa a fost sursa amenintarilor strategice si uneori existentiale pentru America.

Primul exemplu este cel al presedintelui rus Vladimir Putin, care „a spart un tabu international vechi de aproape 70 de ani”, potrivit sursei citate, prin folosirea fortei pentru a redesena granitele nationale, odata cu anexarea Crimeii.

Aici este inclusa si doborarea, in iulie 2014, a avionului Malaysia Airlines in estul Ucrainei, de catre forte armate sprijinite de Moscova.

Putin, cel mai mare pericol pentru America – care sunt riscurile

Totodata, Uniunea Europeana a devenit si mai nedemocrata, iar politici economice si fiscale nesustenabile vin din partea birocratiei de la Bruxelles in numele unei „uniuni mai largi si mai profunde”.

Aceste masuri au dus la victorii ale unor formatiuni din cele doua extreme ale politicii – UKIP in Marea Britanie si „populistii socialisti utopici precum partidul Syriza”, din Grecia.

Povestea si secretele omului care a castigat Grecia si a zguduit Europa din temelii

De asemenea, politicile de imigratie ale multor state UE au facilitat stabilirea in aceste tari a sute de „enclave” etnice si religioase pe un continent unde integrarea este vazuta drept un lucru rau si unde cautatorii de talente in randul radicalilor pentru grupari precum al Qaida si Statul Islamic identifica, indoctrineaza si recruteaza asasini precum cei de la Charlie Hebdo, dar si mii de luptatori pentru Statul Islamic.

Statul Islamic ameninta cu noi atacuri, dupa Paris: Vom ajunge in toata Europa

Au aparut astfel miscari precum PEGIDA, din Germania, pe masura ce legaturile Europei cu miscarea mondiala a jihadistilor sunt tot mai evidente, dupa macelul din Paris, decapitarea unui militar britanic pe strazile Regatului Unit, precum si zecile de arestari legate de infractiuni de terorism, in Belgia si Spania, atesta esecul actualei campanii internationale impotriva terorismului islamist.

Orientul Mijlociu si Africa de Nord

Cea mai grava situatie din toata lumea este insa considerata cea din aceste zone, unde Primavara Araba datatoare de sperante s-a transformat foarte rapid intr-o „Iarna a Crestinilor”, precum si intr-o victorie a fundamentalistilor si a fortelor antidemocratice.

Este remarcata Fratia Musulmana, care a provocat caderea regimurilor autoritare, dar si prabusirea celor din Siria si Libia, unde se desfasoara adevarare razboaie civile.

In plus, minoritatile vulnerabile din regiume, cu precadere vechile comunitati de crestini, s-au transformat in tinta islamistilor radicali, care i-au ucis, persecutat sau izgonit pe membrii acestora.

Al Qaida, mesajul de Craciun: Pregatiti-va pentru cel mai mare cosmar!

Yemenul s-a prabusit sub atacurile insurgente si dupa demisia guvernului de la Sanaa. Iranul a obtinut concesie dupa concesie din partea administratiei Obama, fara a i se opri achizitia de arme nucleare, in timp ce Statul Islamic este vazut drept o noua amenintare si mai periculoasa decat a fost vreodata al Qaida. Gruparea terorista care ameninta lumea a ajuns atat de periculoasa pe cat visa Osama bin Laden sa fie la randul sau.

Africa

Aici, amenintarile sunt la fel de periculoase precum erau in 2008, iar cel mai grav caz este in Nigeria, unde miscarea globala jihadista se consolideaza prin atacurile gruparii Boko Haram, ale carei campanii vizeaza crestinii si practic pe toti cei care nu vor sa traiasca intr-un sistem bazat pe sharia si pe interpretarea din secolul 7 a Coranului.

Unul dintre cele mai mari atentate din istorie, cu mii de morti, comis in timp ce toti eram cu ochii pe Franta

Americile

Si una dintre cele mai pasnice si sigure tari din lume, Canada, a devenit o victima directa a miscarii globale jihadiste dupa o serie de atacuri impotriva fortelor sale armate si chiar a institutiilor sale.

Violente in Canada: Crime multiple in Edmonton, focuri trase catre politisti in Toronto

In ce priveste Statele Unite, aici se scoate in evidenta „normalizarea” relatiilor cu Cuba comunista, ceea ce, potrivit autorului, este o veste buna pentru cei carora le plac trabucurile, insa daca declaratiile regimului Castro ar trebui sa fie luate in considerare drept ilustrand intentiile adevarate ale Havanei, atunci intelegerea a fost buna pentru regimul dictatorial si proasta pentru America.

Moment istoric: SUA si Cuba reiau relatiile diplomatice

Australia

In cele din urma, nici Australia nu a scapat atinsa de actiunile teroriste. In loc sa se imbunatateasca situatia securitatii din aceasta tara, dupa detasarea unor militari ai marinei americane, australienii s-au confruntat cu propriul atac jihadist chiar inainte de Craciun, dupa luarea de ostatici in urma careia doi dintre ei au fost ucisi, aducand astfel pe strazile din Sydney jihadismul violent atat de familiar unor mari orase ale lumii precum New York, Londra, Madrid si Paris.

Luare de ostatici si steag islamic arborat in Sydney

Asia

Primul nume enuntat aici este cel al Chinei, care in ultimii ani a contestat deschis pacea din regiune instaurata dupa Razboiul Rece, dupa campaniile de intimidare impotriva vecinilor sai mai mici si mai slabi, indeosebi in Marea Chinei de Sud si de Est. In plus, tara a continuat sa creasca economic intr-un asemenea ritm incat a depasit economica americana.

De asemenea, China poarta un razboi cibernetic ascuns cu America, furand nu doar secrete de stat pe care sa le foloseasca in dezvoltarea noilor sisteme armate, ci si secrete comerciale ale afacerilor americane, in valoare de miliarde de dolari.

Nu in ultimul rand, Coreea de Nord a folosit Internetul impotriva intereselor americane, odata cu atacul asupra Sony, in timp ce Washingtonul s-a dovedit complet ineficient in subminarea ultimului regim stalinist complet al lumii, fara a se mai pomeni de armele nucleare cu care se lauda Phenianul.

Zece dispute teritoriale care ar putea redesena harta lumii

Astfel, concluzioneaza autorul, nu exista nicio zona in lume, care sa fie de interes pentru America, in care aceasta tara sa nu-si fi pierdut prietenii sau sa fi esuat in ajutarea aliatilor sa se apere singuri impotriva inamicilor comuni care ameninta intreaga lume.

Si, oricare ar fi preferintele politice ale oamenilor sau oricare le-ar fi favoritul pentru functia de presedinte al SUA, un lucru este sigur: fara o conducere americana hotarata, lumea poate deveni un loc mult mai periculos – asa cum este acum. „

Voi pune si articolul aparut pe Breibart:

How to Lose Friends and Empower Radicals: The Peace Prize President’s More Dangerous World

Se arata, printre altele, ca:

„Since 2008, the world has become a significantly more dangerous place. In every region, new threats have emerged or old ones have reasserted them. The scorecard is clear: the bad guys are winning and America’s interests are being undermined daily.

As a nation, America has yet to recover from the experience of September 11th, 2001. Public opinion on our national response to the attacks against the World Trade Center, the Pentagon, and Flight 93 is today divided. On one side we have the “Bush lied, People Died!” crowd who portray President George W. Bush’s response in terms of a conspiracy, despite the fact that we now know Saddam Hussein indeed possessed thousands of WMD warheads (and had used them in the past).

On the other, we have conservatives who are themselves split between the unsophisticated isolationists/non-interventionists who believe that an American withdrawal from the world will make us safe, and the quietly resurgent neoconservatives who see in the rise of ISIS/The Islamic State a justification for more foreign engagements.

For a moment, let us put Operations Enduring Freedom (Afghanistan), and Operations Iraqi Freedom (OIF), to one side. Instead, let us take an unemotional snap-shot of the global geostrategic situation to see whether the administration whose head was awarded a Nobel Peace Prize during his first year in office has indeed make the world a safer and more peaceful place.

Europe: During most of the last century, American security was tied directly to the continent of Europe. Whether is was the generational genocide of World War One, the racial genocide of WWII, or the class-based totalitarianism of the Cold War, Europe was the source of strategic, and at times existential, threats to America.

During the first Obama Administration, Secretary of State Hilary Clinton declared a “Pivot to Asia” which would deemphasize Europe’s importance and see Washington focus more on our Pacific partners than on old Atlantic Allies.

Since that announcement, an emboldened Vladimir Putin has seen fit to break an almost 70-year-old international taboo by using force to redraw national borders with his annexation of Crimea. This includes, incredibly, the shooting down of a civilian jet-liner by forces armed by Moscow.

At the same time, we have seen the European Union become evermore centralizing and undemocratic as untenable economic and fiscal policies are propped up by a Brussels bureaucracy in the name of “broader and deeper union.” This has naturally led to two types of responses: the unprecedented success of a paleo-conservative backlash,f best typified by the insurgent victories of UKIP in Great Britain, as well the reverse: Utopian socialist populists such as the victorious Syriza party of Greece.

Then there are Europe’s ties to the Global Jihadist Movement. The recent slaughter in Paris, the beheading of a British serviceman on the streets of the UK, and Spanish and Belgian terror-related arrests all attest to the failure of the current international campaign against Islamist terrorism.

The flawed immigration policies of many EU nations have also facilitated the establishment of literally hundreds of ethnic and religious enclaves across the continent where integration is seen as a bad thing and where radical talentspotters for groups such as Al Qaeda and ISIS/IS identify, indoctrinate and recruit murderers such as the Charlie Hebdo killers, as well as thousands of fighters for The Islamic State.

This has led to a grass-roots response from Europeans afraid of the future survival of their countries embodied in the ever-broadening PEGIDA movement that Breitbart London has covered in great detail. The failure of multiculturalist immigration policies has not only encouraged the enclave phenomenon, but is also clearly linked to the disturbing rise of anti-Semitism on the continent which has led to unprecedented numbers of European jews deciding to leave the nations of their birth for good.

If we include Turkey in our European snapshot, the situation is even worse, as we have seen the one viable example of a secular Muslim state slip even deeper into the corruption-ridden maelstrom of Islamic fundamentalism under the Erdogan government which is either incapable or unwilling to prevent Turkey becoming a pre-deployment site for jihadist fighters traveling into Syria and Iraq. All this from a formal NATO ally of the US.

Asia: The much-vaunted Pivot to Asia has clearly not worked. China has, over the last several years, openly challenged the post-Cold War peace in the region with a commitment to its own military build-up coupled with a concerted campaign of intimidation against its smaller and weaker neighbors.

While challenging and intimidating our regional partners, China has continued to grow economically at such a rate that the nation which was once universally ridiculed as the maker of plastic toys for McDonalds Happy Meals has now surpassed the US economy in terms of gross output.  At the same time, China is waging a covert war against America in the cyber domain, stealing not only state secrets for use in developing its new weapons systems, but also billions of dollars worth of intellectual property and commercial secrets from American businesses. See the remarkable report from Mandiant on scale of the threat.

North Korea has also used the internet to assault American interests as the Sony hacking attack attests, while Washington has proven totally ineffective in undermining the world’s last truly fully-fledged Stalinist regime, or its regionally destabilizing nuclear weapons capabilities.

Africa: A giant continent, with threats as bad as they were in 2008, or in several cases much worse. The Global Jihadist Movement continues to consolidate its control in Nigeria through the horrific attacks of Boko Haram, the group made famous for the kidnapping of the girls from Chibok, an attack which is just one part of a vast campaign targeting Christians and anyone who does not want to live under a theocratically run system based upon sharia and 7th century interpretation of the Koran.

In addition to the insurgent-like threat of Boko Haram, we have also witnessed horrific hit and run terrorist tactics used by other African jihadists, as in the Westgate Mall attack in Nairobi by Al Shabaab. At the same time, China proceeds to build its vast network of economic interests in the continent in ways that far outstrip American geostrategic investment in Africa.

Australasia: Of course, the Pivot to Asia should have pleased our Antipodean allies. But the concrete consequences of the declarations and speeches by Secretary Clinton and the White House have amounted to little more than the deployment of a handful of US Marines from Camp Pendleton to Australia. Instead of the security situation improving, Australia faced its own Jihadist attack just before Christmas last year as a self-styled imam took hostages and brought the violent jihad so familiar to New York, London, Madrid, and Paris, to the streets of Sydney.

The Americas: Canada likewise became a direct victim of the Global Jihadist Movement after a spate of attacks against its armed forces and even its parliament which was only stopped when a brave sergeant-at-arms applied deadly force in the face of a rampaging jihadi.

Those who like illicit quality cigars may be celebrating the White House’s “normalization” of relations with Communist Cuba, but if statements by the Castro regime are to be credited as expressing Havana’s true intentions, then the deal was good for the dictatorship and bad for America. And despite the US government’s historic decision, conditions inside Cuba have remained the same, or in many case deteriorated, with last year seeing record-breaking numbers of political arrests on the island nation. And Cuba’s anti-democratic influence is a problem for the region, not just its wretched population, with Raul Castro’s secret police providing aid and expertise in the oppression of dissidents to the government of Venezuela.

The Middle East and North Africa: Leaving the worst for last we have, of course, the Middle East, and North Africa. The highs hopes for the Arab Spring turned very rapidly into a “Christian Winter” and a victory for the fundamentalist and anti-Democratic forces of the Muslim Brotherhood. One after another, one-man authoritarian regimes fell to Islamist MB governments, or collapsed into deadly civil wars which are still being fought in places like Syria and Libya. Throughout the region, proto-democrats and vulnerable minorities, especially ancient Christian communities, have been targeted for death or persecution, or have been forced to flee.

The one ray of hope, the people’s revolt in Egypt against the Brotherhood government of Mohammad Morsi, which led to his being ousted by a secular military, was rejected by the US administration as a coup, despite the fact that General, now President, Sisi, has been fighting his own war against Jihadi fundamentalists since he was the Chief of the Egyptian Armed Forces.

And now Yemen, which was lauded just a few months ago by President Obama as the poster-child of his successful counterterrorism strategy, has collapsed under insurgent attacks and the resignation of the government in Sanaa.

Then there is Iran, which, much like Cuba, has squeezed concession after concession out of the administration without either stopping its acquisition of nuclear weapons capability, or curtailing its support of Shiite terrorist fighters in either Iraq or Syria.

I said I would leave Afghanistan and Iraq of our the equation, but nevertheless, it is important to recognize that this is a new jihadist threat that is even more dangerous than Al Qaeda. ISIS, the Islamic State, is today a full-fledged insurgency, one that in four dimensions is much more of a threat that Al Qaeda ever was.

The Islamic State is more than a terrorist group, it now functions as a quasi-state and controls territory equivalent to the size of the UK. It is the richest non-state threat group in human history. It has an incredibly sophisticated understanding of information warfare and how to use social media as a propaganda platform, and lastly – and relatedly – it has recruited ten of thousands of young Muslim men from around the world, including Europe and the US, to fight for the new Caliphate of Abu Bakr al Baghdadi. Bin Laden dreamt of being this powerful. The Islamic State has turned his dream into a horrific reality.

There is not one area of the world of import to America in which we have either not lost friends, or failed to help our allies to defend themselves against the common enemies that threaten us all. Whatever your politics, or whomever you favor for the next Commander-in-Chief of the United States, one thing is certain: without resolute American leadership the world can become, and now is, a much more dangerous place.

Sebastian Gorka PhD. is the Major General Matthew C. Horner Distinguished Chair of Military Theory at the Marine Corps University and Associate Fellow at the Joint Special Operations University, USSOCOM. Follow him at @SebGorka.„

Despre Sebastian Gorka – aici.

Cam asa arata lumea azi… N-are dreptate? Obama a esuat si Democratii ar trebui sa fie constienti ca gestioneaza, actualmente, un esec. Au esuat pentru ca politica lor externa s-a dovedit a fi lipsita de viziune. Ei au crezut, de exemplu, ca sprijinul dat miscarilor extremiste islamice si o atitudine necombatanta cu Iranul ii vor face sa se puna bine cu lumea islamica pe de o parte si sa scoata niste dictatori din astfel de tari, pe de alta parte. Socoteala s-a dovedit a fi una gresita. De asemenea nu vad ca sanctiunile impuse Rusiei sa opreasca Rusia din actiunile sale in Estul Ucrainei. Iar SUA si NATO nu vad sa ia masuri eficace de combatere a unor astfel de actiuni razboinice precum cele ale Rusiei.

Un mare esec se manifesta in plan economic in Europa si Sebastian Gorka are dreptate: o Europa mai centralizata, mai nedemocratica si mai putin libera. Practic nu s-au putut nici acum depasi efectele unei crize economice incepute in 2008!! Lucrul asta, dupa parerea mea, este clar voit. Deoacere solutii pentru o redresare rapida ar fi existat, daca s-ar fi vrut. Problemele existente in Zona Euro nu s-au rezolvat nici acum. Liberalismul e in scadere, etatismul e in crestere. In Romania, cu toata lupta anticoruptie, romanii nu o duc mai bine. Mai nou, se loveste si in mediul de afaceri! Ma intreb oare de ce? Ca sa fie distrus? Dar ce legatura ar avea toate astea cu Obama? Dupa parerea mea, Obama a dorit de la bun inceput sa distruga sau sa diminueze victoria liberalismului din 1989, numai ca, la inceputul primului sau mandat, nu era evident pentru toata lumea lucrul asta. Lumea cred ca se astepta la o mai mare deschidere. Bineinteles, el avea si circumstanta atenuanta a crizei care tocmai incepuse si care nu era din vina lui. Insa ceea ce a urmat confirma ipoteza lui Gorka: cum sa distrugi liberalismul daca nu prin politici fiscale nesustenabile, care sa faca greaoie creditarea si investitiile? Sau, cum se intampla in Romania, printr-o lupta anticoruptie care mai loveste si in mediul de afaceri si doar atat, in rest aceleasi politici fiscale nesustenabile, aceeasi incompetenta a statului in a gestiona problemele economice, dar mai ales o marire a rolului statului in economie, in societate etc, cu efecte catastrofale, in conditiile in care cetateanul, din pacate, nu prea poate sa faca mare lucru. Ion Cristoiu are un editorial interesant:

Ca și azi, cine ajungea la ghilotină depindea de cel în mîinile căruia trecea Tribunalul Revoluționar !

Unde conchide, in final, urmatoarele:

„Cine ajungea la ghilotină depindea de cel în mîinile căruia trecea   Tribunalul Revoluționar.

Orice asemănare cu lupta împotriva corupției de la noi nu-i deloc întîmplătoare!”

Si poate ca nu intamplator vorbim de Revolutia Franceza in Epoca lui Obama: s-ar putea sa existe o legatura directa, desi azi nu se mai foloseste ghilotina si e abolita pedeapsa cu moartea. Pentru ca lui Obama i se potriveste, cel putin formal, celebra lozinca a lui Joseph Cambon: „Pace bordeielor, razboi palatelor”! Si ma refer la lupta impotriva oligarhilor, iar conflictul lui cu Putin este conflictul intre un democrat (el) si un oligarh (Putin), ideologic vorbind. Chestiunea care se pune este ca Obama identifica democratia cu socialismul, lucru ce nu e corect.

De asemenea remarcam activitatea, la noi cel putin, a unor servicii secrete nereformate, un SRI care, daca este sa ne luam dupa recentele declaratii ale D-nei. Udrea, seamana tot mai mult cu vechea Securitate. Remarcam si aici ideea comunista de control al statului asupra cetateanului, teza pe care, din cate se pare, Dl. Obama o imbratiseaza cu drag.

Toata aceasta lipsa de coerenta si de viziune in politica externa a liderului de la Casa Alba, evident, complica lucrurile, tinzand sa le inrautateasca. El a sprijinit, de exemplu, Fratia Musulmana in Egipt pentru ca a vazut in aceasta poporul egiptean cazut si exploatat de o dictatura oligarhica, cea a lui Hosni Mubarak. Ca viziunea aceasta nu a fost corecta, se vede acum: avem un regim militar. La fel in Libia, colonelul Gaddafi era vazut tot ca un oligarh, in opozitie cu democratul Obama care l-a si inlaturat folosindu-se mai ales de interpusi: Franta si Anglia. Ca nici aceasta viziune nu s-a dovedit a fi corecta, se vede acum: avem Al-Qaeda in Libia si o stare de razboi civil in care Al-Qaeda se dezvolta si ameninta din ce in ce mai tare Europa. In Franta au avut loc si atentate teroriste, ca un fel de pedeapsa pentru implicare Frantei in razboiul impotriva regimului Gaddafi. Obama a dorit, cum a dorit sa faca si in Libia, si in Siria, sa indeparteze un dictator si sa inapoieze, ca sa zic asa, statul, tara poporului, chiar si unui regim fundamentalist islamic, fara sa observe pericolele ce decurg din acest lucru.

Regimul Obama doreste sa distruga mostenirea lasata de predecesorii sai: Reagan si Clinton – o lume liberala, libera, economie de piata libera, democratie sanatoasa, fara sa aiba si o viziune despre lumea pe care ar dori s-o construiasca. Pare mai degraba o viziune retrograda, regresiva, o intoarcere spre principiile marxiste, o viziune cu un grad mare de risc pentru Romania si nu numai.

Recomand citirea integrala si in original a tuturor articolelor.